Wednesday, October 10, 2007

2007 Breeders' Cup Question: To Supplement or Not to Supplement


You have a thoroughbred that's in good form, but isn't eligible for the Breeders' Cup. Do you fork over big bucks to supplement your horse or forget about the sweet reward.

Nowadays supplemental fees are considerably lower than they were more than two decades ago. So do you take a chance? In other words, what are odds that you?ll win more than you lose?

I checked out an informative racing article and chart on About.com and learned which gambles in the past 23 years paid off.

For example, six outstanding horses that hit the board in the BC Classic from the inaugural in 1984 to 2001 came out way ahead. Tiznow, supplemented for $360,000 in '00, banked $2,438,800 for the top return on investment. The following year, he repeated and earned $2,080,000.

Skip Away banked $2,888,000 after his owner plunked down $480,000 in '97. Wild Again didn't disappoint when $480,000 put him in the '84 Classic - the victory was worth $1,350,000.In '00, a record 16 supplemental starters were entered. The good news: Four horses that cost $980,000 to run returned a total of $3,444,400 for a profit of $2,464,400.

The not-so-good news: A total of $1,780,000 got the others into a half-dozen BC races to win $108,329. The ugly: Total losses were $1,671,680.

One horse that will be supplemented in the BC Filly & Mare Turf is Lahudood, the $44.40 upset winner in Belmont's Flower Bowl on Sept. 29. The fee for the 4-year-old filly: $180,000.

In the Filly & Mare Turf, a half-dozen runners entered from '99 to '04 at a total cost of $470,000 did quite well, earning $2,526,800 for a profit of $2,056,000. One of the biggest winners: Ouija Board that turned $90,000 into $733,000 for a net return of $643,000.

During 11 other times when eight different fillies or mares ran, it cost $1.1 million in supplemental fees. The ugly results: $187,000 for a net loss of $912,400.

We won't know the supplemented horses until BC week. Stay tuned!

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