Monday, January 26, 2009

Monday NCAA: Marquette (17-2) at Notre Dame (12-6)


What has happened to the Notre Dame Fighting Irish? Once a top-10 team, could well fall out of the rankings on Monday after losing Saturday to Connecticut, the Irish’s third straight loss and their first in 45 games at home, which had been the longest streak in the country.

Things don’t get any easier on Monday night for the Irish, as the Big East-leading come to town. Marquette has won nine games in a row and sits atop the country’s best conference with Louisville. But Marquette is a 3-point underdog on WagerWeb.com for Monday’s game.

There will be a new-look starting lineup tonight for , according to coach Mike Brey. The change hasn’t been confirmed as of this writing, but it’s likely that forward Zach Hillesland or guard Ryan Ayers may move to a reserve role while sophomore Tyrone Nash or senior Luke Zeller joins the starting five.

“We’ve got to figure out something,” guard Tory Jackson said. “If it means changes, do whatever it takes because we have to get this thing going. We have to get it going fast to get where we want to go.”
All-American remains a stud, leading the Big East in points and rebounds, but the problem has been receiving consistent offense from anyone other than him. has recorded back-to-back season lows for shooting in its last two games. Against the Huskies, the other four starters other than Harangody combined for 22 points on 8-for-39 shooting.

The Golden Eagles certainly should be fresh, as they have played just twice since Jan. 10. They average 81.5 ppg and is right behind them at 80.1 ppg. But struggles on the defensive end and is near the bottom of the Big East on that end. The over is 158 on WagerWeb.com for this game, and the past five meetings in the series have gone over.

has lost eight of the last 11 games between the teams and struggled last season against the guard-oriented Golden Eagles, who averaged 88.0 points while shooting 44.6 percent (33-for-74) from 3-point range in three games. The teams each won on their home court before then-No. 25 Marquette upset 14th-ranked 89-79 in the Big East tournament quarterfinals.

Still, I expect a victory on Monday night because the Irish are desperate.

WagerWeb.com Game Trends
* Golden Eagles are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Golden Eagles are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
* Golden Eagles are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Golden Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
* Golden Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a S.U. win.
* Golden Eagles are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games.
* Golden Eagles are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games overall.
* Golden Eagles are 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a ATS loss.
* Golden Eagles are 12-5 ATS in their last 17 vs. Big East.
* Golden Eagles are 9-4 ATS in their last 13 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Golden Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog.
* Golden Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as a road underdog of 0.5-6.5.
* Golden Eagles are 2-5 ATS in their last 7 games as an underdog of 0.5-6.5.
* Golden Eagles are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games as an underdog.
* Fighting Irish are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games as a favorite of 0.5-6.5.
* Fighting Irish are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a home favorite of 0.5-6.5.
* Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Fighting Irish are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
* Fighting Irish are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Fighting Irish are 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 Monday games.
* Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
* Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* Fighting Irish are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 vs. Big East.
* Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings.
* Over is 5-0 in the last 5 meetings in .
* Golden Eagles are 4-1 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NCAA Basketball Betting at WagerWeb.com

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