Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Wednesday NCAA: USC (15-6) at UCLA (17-4)


Since a 64-60 loss to crosstown UCLA on Jan. 11, the have looked impressing, winning five of six games, and they can take a share of the Pac-10 lead for at least a night by beating the Bruins in the rematch on Wednesday.

has opened as an 8.5-point “home” favorite on WagerWeb.com.

In that first meeting this year, Southern Cal led by six with about 10 minutes to go but went on an 8-0 run and never looked back. The Bruins’ Darren Collison led all scorers with 18 points and a game-high six assists. Collison leads with a 14.6 average and with 5.4 assists per game and has a free-throw percentage of 94.4 percent (68-for-72) this season, which leads the nation and is second on ’s single-season charts. He has made six career starts versus USC, averaging 37.3 minutes and 15.0 points a contest. Collison has played 39 minutes in each of the last two meetings.

Nikola Dragović has made at least one three-point field goal in each of the last eight games for . He’s shooting 46.0 percent (23-for-50) from long range in Pac-10 games (7th in the league) and is hitting 48.8 percent (20-for-41) from three-point range as a starter - he started his first game in that last USC meeting.

is again a defensive club. The Bruins have held 10 opponents in 2008-09 to fewer than 60 points, going 9-1 in those games.

Four of USC’s five starters are averaging 13 points per game in Pac-10 play: Taj Gibson (13.9), Dwight Lewis (13.7), DeMar DeRozan (13.2) and Daniel Hackett (13.2). Gibson has averaged 14.9 points, 10.2 rebounds and 2.9 blocks in USC’s first 21 games, including 11 double-doubles. The last Trojan to average a double-double was Jaha Wilson in 1994-95.

This is the 228th meeting between and USC with the Bruins leading the series 127-100. is 60-20 against USC at home since 1947 and 36-9 at Pauley Pavilion 36-9. But the Trojans did win there last year and have split the last six meetings there.

WagerWeb.com Game Trends
* Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a road underdog of 7.0-12.5.
* Trojans are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as an underdog of 7.0-12.5.
* Trojans are 18-6 ATS in their last 24 games as a road underdog.
* Trojans are 22-8 ATS in their last 30 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
* Trojans are 24-9 ATS in their last 33 road games.
* Trojans are 23-9 ATS in their last 32 games as an underdog.
* Trojans are 39-19 ATS in their last 58 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of greater than .600.
* Trojans are 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games following a ATS win.
* Bruins are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games as a home favorite of 7.0-12.5.
* Bruins are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 7.0-12.5.
* Bruins are 8-3 ATS in their last 11 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
* Bruins are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Bruins are 4-11 ATS in their last 15 games following a ATS win.
* Bruins are 3-9 ATS in their last 12 games after scoring more than 90 points in their previous game.
* Bruins are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games following a SU win of more than 20 points.
* Trojans are 6-2 ATS in the last 8 meetings in .
* Trojans are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings.
* Underdog is 11-4 ATS in the last 15 meetings.
* Road team is 5-0 ATS in the last 5 meetings.

NCAA Basketball Betting at WagerWeb.com

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