Wednesday, February 4, 2009

Wednesday NBA: Lakers (38-9) at Raptors (19-31)


Look, the should beat the Toronto Raptors easily on Wednesday night. After all, the are a stellar 15-5 on the road and have won three straight games overall, while Toronto has dropped three in a row and is just 9-14 at home. And Los Angeles is a 7.5-point favorite on WagerWeb.com.

But what everyone wants to see if what does as a follow-up to the 61 points he put up against the Knicks in Madison Square Garden on Monday night. I say there’s no chance he approaches even 50 tonight. Remember that Monday as a perfect storm for Kobe to go off: He wanted to prove he could lead his team despite the loss of Andrew Bynum and he loves playing in the Garden. I’m not sure his motivation will be quite so high in Toronto.

Of course, this Raptors team is the one that Kobe torched for 81 once. But coach Phil Jackson doesn’t want Kobe to be carrying that much of the offense.

“We don’t want him to because we have so many other players that can contribute,” Jackson said. “Obviously with Andrew [Bynum] out, we’re missing a piece of scoring there that’s been effective for us. At the end of the game [against New York], Pau [Gasol] was feeding Kobe and finding him in certain situations where he probably could have persisted in the post himself.”

In the previous 24 games Bryant had scored at least 50 points, three times he came back with at least 50 in his next outing. Overall, he has averaged 34.4 points in his next game after 50-plus.

Other than that incredible 81 on Jan. 22, 2006 (at Staples Center), Bryant had 46 points in the ’ last visit to Air Canada Centre, a 121-101 win on Feb. 1, 2008. He had 23 and Gasol scored a game-high 24 as Los Angeles beat Toronto 112-99 at home on Nov. 30.

Yet despite Bryant’s brilliance on Monday, the are 25-0 this season when he’s scored 27 points or fewer.

The Raptors have lost five of their last six at home and 10 of 13 overall.

WagerWeb.com Game Trends
* are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 after scoring 100 points or more in their previous game.
* are 5-0 ATS in their last 5 games as a favorite of 5.0-10.5.
* are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games as a favorite.
* are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 vs. NBA Atlantic.
* are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
* are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 road games.
* are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
* are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a losing S.U. record.
* are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a S.U. win.
* are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games as a road favorite.
* are 10-4 ATS in their last 14 road games vs. a team with a losing home record.
* are 7-3 ATS in their last 10 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400.
* are 13-6 ATS in their last 19 games as a road favorite of 5.0-10.5.
* are 4-10 ATS in their last 14 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400.
* are 7-19 ATS in their last 26 when their opponent allows 100 points or more in their previous game.
* are 7-21 ATS in their last 28 vs. Eastern Conference.
* are 4-14 ATS in their last 18 games playing on 1 days rest.
* Raptors are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 games when their starting 5 players combine for more than 160 minutes of the previous day.
* Raptors are 17-35 ATS in their last 52 games vs. a team with a winning % above .600.
* Raptors are 5-11-1 ATS in their last 17 vs. NBA Pacific.
* Raptors are 6-14-2 ATS in their last 22 games vs. a team with a winning S.U. record.
* Raptors are 2-5-1 ATS in their last 8 games following a S.U. loss.
* Raptors are 6-16-1 ATS in their last 23 games as an underdog of 5.0-10.5.
* Raptors are 6-16-2 ATS in their last 24 vs. Western Conference.
* Raptors are 7-19-1 ATS in their last 27 home games vs. a team with a winning road record.
* Raptors are 3-10-1 ATS in their last 14 games as a home underdog.
* Raptors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 after allowing 100 points or more in their previous game.
* Raptors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 games following a ATS loss.
* Raptors are 1-4-1 ATS in their last 6 home games.
* Raptors are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 Wednesday games.
* Raptors are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of greater than .600.
* Raptors are 0-4 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
* are 7-3-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.
* Favorite is 7-3-2 ATS in the last 12 meetings.

NBA Betting at WagerWeb.com

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