Tuesday, July 31, 2007

Fantasy Football Guide: 2007 NFL sleepers and busts


The difference between sitting in your fantasy football league

Top 5 Sleepers:

1. Santonio Holmes - Pittsburgh WR

By the end of last season, Holmes had stolen Cedrick Wilson's starting job in Pittsburgh. Holmes has great speed and size to get downfield and create separation with DBs. With a healthy Ben Roethlisberger under center, Holmes' numbers should be on the rise this season. And Santonio is a cool name to boot.

2. Cedric Benson - Chicago RB

With Thomas Jones gone to the Jets, the starting job belongs to Benson in Chicago - now he has to prove he can handle it. Benson is a punishing back with speed to break off big runs when he gets room. Injuries have hurt Benson's growth the last two seasons, but he should rumble for more than 1,000 yards if he can stay healthy.

3. Jerious Norwood - Atlanta RB

The Falcons were the No. 1 rushing team in the league last season and, no matter what happens with Michael Vick, there should still be lots of running in Atlanta again this year. Norwood shared the duties with Warrick Dunn last season, but with Norwood's speed and Dunn's advancing age, Norwood should become the feature back more and more as the season goes on.

4. Matt Leinart - Arizona QB

Leinart is surrounded by a ton of talent and after going through some growing pains during his rookie campaign, he should be ready to break out this year. He may start slowly while adapting to a new system under a new head coach, but by midseason, Leinart should be racking up the TD passes to Anquan Boldin and Larry Fitzgerald.

5. Vincent Jackson - San Diego WR

Even with the athletic Antonio Gates in tow at TE, the Chargers need a real No. 1 wide receiver. Jackson fits the mould perfectly with deep speed and red-zone size. With Gates and LaDainian Tomlinson drawing most of the attention from opposing defenses, Jackson could be in for a breakout season.

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Top 5 Busts:

1. Trent Green - Miami QB

Welcome to Miami, Trent, where the offensive line is a mess and the receivers are mostly washouts. Green's aging arm has no real value in the Dolphins awful passing game.

2. Fred Taylor - Jacksonville RB

Taylor put together a fine season last year because he finally avoided any big injuries. Taylor will be lucky to avoid the injury bug two years in a row and, even if he does remain healthy, his carries will decline as blossoming Maurice Jones-Drew's duties increase.

3. Chester Taylor - Minnesota RB

Taylor ran for a ton of yards last season, but his touchdowns numbers were too low for a No. 1 fantasy RB. Taylor's days as the starter in Minnesota appeared numbered the instant the Vikings drafted Oklahoma stud Adrian Peterson. His value drops with every carry he loses to Peterson.

4. Mike Furrey - Detroit WR

Don't expect Furrey to replicate the big-time numbers he put up last season. Furrey's receptions have nowhere to go but down with Calvin Johnson in town. Furrey could still have some solid yardage totals, but his trips to the end zone should be few and far between. Still has value, just in the later rounds. Don't base your pick on last year's stats.

5. Michael Vick - Atlanta QB

Even before his dogfighting legal troubles mushroomed this summer, Vick was one of the last quarterbacks I would have drafted. Vick's play is so erratic and inconsistent that he can lead your fantasy team to victory once week and bring it crashing down the next. Vick might be worth taking as a backup, but don't make him your starting QB or you'll be sorry.

Bet on the 2007 NFL season at WagerWeb Sportsbook
penthouse and falling into the basement is often deiced by who grabs the right sleepers and who gets caught with the year's bust. Last season, anyone who grabbed sleepers like Frank Gore or Jon Kitna was sitting pretty for their small risk, while anyone who got caught holding Edgerrin James or Mike Vanderjagt was sitting in last place.

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